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Sep 27, 2012
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to backstop the government with potentially buying of its bonds. herein lies the problem. this is a country that has tried austerity. it's not like greece that's been dragging its feet. lehoy has enacted over 60 billion euros' worth of reforms, over 2 1/2 years to 2014. and the problem is, those reforms are making things worse. it's that whole contradiction is austerity driving growth out of the country, or actually is it creating conditions for investors to get more confidence? and then you get the protests from the people on the street. i'm actually standing on the exact point just outside where parliament is barricaded. you can see behind me just right at that point where over the last two nights, we've seen police charges, plastic bullets being fired as well, protesters getting violent because they're getting very frustrated about the really tough economic conditions which they don't see anything getting better. but i do want to leave this here on a very positive note. and there is one positive thing going on. and that is exports, and that is c
to backstop the government with potentially buying of its bonds. herein lies the problem. this is a country that has tried austerity. it's not like greece that's been dragging its feet. lehoy has enacted over 60 billion euros' worth of reforms, over 2 1/2 years to 2014. and the problem is, those reforms are making things worse. it's that whole contradiction is austerity driving growth out of the country, or actually is it creating conditions for investors to get more confidence? and then you...
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Oct 3, 2012
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the government has been losing jobs. we can argue about the thousands here, 1,000 here, 10,000 there, the economy has been growing at 1.5 to 2%. in the 150, 160,000 range. the better argument for the future would be one where we're arguing over 250 versus 150. >> steve, you know what i find fascinating? it seems as though we just keep shaving the curve a bit when data is doing better several months ago. we were too optimistic. when data started to do reversals of late, maybe we were too pessimistic. we're in the middle zone. 162,000, it might be better than they were expecting. currently on jobses we've averaged a smidgen for the third quarter. i guess in the end the numbers give me confidence because it is a bigger part of the economy. but none of this is to write home about on the recession side. >> my perspective is i'm afraid we're falling off a cliff. the ism numbers don't tell us that. it shows that we're in a modest area and recession is not around the corner. but let's say your test is putting millions back to wo
the government has been losing jobs. we can argue about the thousands here, 1,000 here, 10,000 there, the economy has been growing at 1.5 to 2%. in the 150, 160,000 range. the better argument for the future would be one where we're arguing over 250 versus 150. >> steve, you know what i find fascinating? it seems as though we just keep shaving the curve a bit when data is doing better several months ago. we were too optimistic. when data started to do reversals of late, maybe we were too...
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Oct 1, 2012
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it has to buy essentially government-guaranteed debt. >> or shares of apple, which would also please a lot of people. >> it can't do that. >> i get that. thank you, steve. >>> as we kick off the first day of the fourth quarter, we have deutsche bank's top u.s. equity strategist here on how to best navigate the markets, sitting at session highs right now. joined now by david bianco on post 9. >> thank you. >> you're actually skeptical, which i was surprised by. you have been a noted bear on wall street. but now you see that there could perhaps be headwinds when it comes to third-quarter earnings? >> i've been bullish during darkest hours of this market the past couple of years. the reason i'm cautious, i'mall quarter, we've seen a deterioration in export activity, investment spending and manufacturing activity that has something to do with the fiscal cliff uncertainty. certainly has to do with europe. i think it mostly has to do with the sharp deceleration in chinese construction activity. i don't think we're going to see any sign of a major improvement there until early next year. ri
it has to buy essentially government-guaranteed debt. >> or shares of apple, which would also please a lot of people. >> it can't do that. >> i get that. thank you, steve. >>> as we kick off the first day of the fourth quarter, we have deutsche bank's top u.s. equity strategist here on how to best navigate the markets, sitting at session highs right now. joined now by david bianco on post 9. >> thank you. >> you're actually skeptical, which i was surprised...
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Oct 2, 2012
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whoever the government is that made it so hard to buy also made it easy to buy. >> the banks are doing it on their own. five, six years they were willing to lend to anyone. >> sorry. >> go ahead. >> that was pointed out by the citi note that underwriters are much tighter these days. so the risk is we have all the starts and the home builders are doing well but they will reach the point where the buyers can't get the credit they need and demand is gone. >> that's why when the toll brothers made it, they were in the process. it is one of those things, why aren't more people using the money and bernanke -- go buy a house, chairman. chairman bernanke, go buy an apartment for rental. what you'll see is unless you pay in cash or cut out the banks entirely and that hurts the rate of return, unless you're paying crash you'll tie yourself up for a really long time. evil gains are feeding into things. i do need to modulate here in the risk of the parts of corporations and the banks doing a 180. this is trauma from the financial corporation, which is okay. you want them to have some memory of it.
whoever the government is that made it so hard to buy also made it easy to buy. >> the banks are doing it on their own. five, six years they were willing to lend to anyone. >> sorry. >> go ahead. >> that was pointed out by the citi note that underwriters are much tighter these days. so the risk is we have all the starts and the home builders are doing well but they will reach the point where the buyers can't get the credit they need and demand is gone. >> that's...
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Sep 28, 2012
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government per diems aren't helping. business travel needs to lift hotel occupancy through the election and actually in response to it. that will also be critical for next year's corporate rates for the likes of marriott and intercontinental about to thrash out for the hotels that they service. incidentally those two stocks are up 30% and 40% so analysts say be careful. the reits that hold the hotels will likely trade more properties. we'll follow on offerings for investors. and the hope trade is under way so accelerating yields or could be share holder pain. casual dining this year's drought is about to become next year's commodity head wind. in the burger wars value appetizing will increasingly be pitched against expensive remodeling possibly hurting everybody they say in the industry. that's a q 4 t and l check. i'm simon hobbs. >> amazon is planning an online market place for wine sales, the second attempt at selling wine to consumers after problems with a partner prompted it to end the first attempt three years ago.
government per diems aren't helping. business travel needs to lift hotel occupancy through the election and actually in response to it. that will also be critical for next year's corporate rates for the likes of marriott and intercontinental about to thrash out for the hotels that they service. incidentally those two stocks are up 30% and 40% so analysts say be careful. the reits that hold the hotels will likely trade more properties. we'll follow on offerings for investors. and the hope trade...
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Sep 26, 2012
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the answer is not increased government involvement. it is policies that will create greater job creation and greater manufacturing in the united states and those are the policies we believe that governor romney and ryan are advancing during this campaign and policies they will put in place when they're in the white house. >> there is a poll, 87% of likely voters say the economy will be an important factor in their decision when they vote. obviously not a surprise. when you have confidence up like it was yesterday, you get home prices that are improving. we got decent numbers today. the market today aside has obviously been strong for the quarter. you have gas prices coming down. are there policies, will we be hearing about positions that argue they could have done even better than all of those things doing right now? >> well, look, this recovery is the weakest recovery we have seen in modern history. you still have 23 million americans struggling for work. you have 47 million americans on food stamps. the reality is that the obama camp
the answer is not increased government involvement. it is policies that will create greater job creation and greater manufacturing in the united states and those are the policies we believe that governor romney and ryan are advancing during this campaign and policies they will put in place when they're in the white house. >> there is a poll, 87% of likely voters say the economy will be an important factor in their decision when they vote. obviously not a surprise. when you have confidence...